Cornous Biology, Volume 2, Issue 2 : 1-7. Doi : 10.37446/corbio/ra/2.2.2024.1-7
Review Article

OPEN ACCESS | Published on : 30-Jun-2024

Impact of climate change on agriculture production and strategies to overcome

  • Saqib Hanif
  • Department of Agronomy, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan.
  • Muhammad Khizar Hayat
  • Department of Agronomy, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan.
  • Malaika Zaheer
  • Department of Agricultural Biotechnology, Ondokuz Mayıs Üniversitesi, Turkey.
  • Hassan Raza
  • Department of Plant Breeding and Genetics, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan.
  • Qurat Ul Ain
  • Institute of Soil and Environmental Sciences, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan.
  • Amara Razzaq
  • Department of Plant Breeding and Genetics, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan.
  • Ariba Sehar
  • Department of Plant Breeding and Genetics, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan.
  • Ali Raza
  • Department of Plant Breeding and Genetics, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan.

Abstract

Existing research suggests that climate models with enhanced geographical resolution might improve future climate projections. Meanwhile, stochastic projections from several climate models are necessary to evaluate model uncertainty and establish risk management strategies. Water availability is predicted to increase in some parts of the world, with consequences for water efficiency and allocation. Crop yields can be boosted by extending or increasing irrigated areas, but this may hasten environmental damage. Climate change alters soil water balance, resulting in changes in soil evaporation and plant transpiration. As a result, agricultural growth cycles may shorten in the future, reducing water yield. Climate change is projected to affect crop output differently depending on latitude and irrigation. Crop yields will rise in certain areas, but fall in others. In recent decades, agricultural regions throughout the world have seen major climate change, as well as widespread increases in CO2 and ozone levels. Climate change and rising CO2 levels increase worries about food security, particularly the influence on global agricultural productivity. We explain how climate and CO2 changes impact agricultural yields, as well as present historical and prospective estimates. The study focuses on grain productivity on a worldwide scale, but other issues of food security are also included. CO2 trends in the future decades are predicted to drive a 1.8% increase in global yields each decade.

Keywords

agricultural yields, climate projections, environmental damage, prospective estimates

References

  • Ahmed, M., Hayat, R., Ahmad, M., Ul-Hassan, M., Kheir, A. M., Ul-Hassan, F., Ur-Rehman, M. H., Shaheen, F. A., Raza, M. A., & Ahmad, S. (2022). Impact of climate change on dryland agricultural systems: a review of current status, potentials, and further work need. International Journal of Plant Production, 16(3), 341-363.

    Alasti, O., Zeinali, E., Soltani, A., & Torabi, B. (2020). Estimation of yield gap and the potential of rainfed barley production increase in Iran. Journal of Crop Production, 13(3), 41-60.

    Arora, S., & Nabi, T. (2022). Determinants affecting household food security in India: a critical review. International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 15(2-4), 317-330.

    Bhattacharya, A. (2019). Global climate change and its impact on agriculture. Changing climate and resource use efficiency in plants, 1, 1-50.

    Blanc, E., & Reilly, J. (2017). Approaches to assessing climate change impacts on agriculture: an overview of the debate. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy.

    Challinor, A. J., Müller, C., Asseng, S., Deva, C., Nicklin, K. J., Wallach, D., ... & Koehler, A. K. (2018). Improving the use of crop models for risk assessment and climate change adaptation. Agricultural systems159, 296-306.

    Eitzinger, J., Orlandini, S., Stefanski, R., & Naylor, R. (2010). Climate change and agriculture: introductory editorial. The Journal of Agricultural Science, 148(5), 499-500.

    Fischer, G., Shah, M. M., & Van Velthuizen, H. (2002). Climate change and agricultural vulnerability.

    Gemeda, D. O., Korecha, D., & Garedew, W. (2023). Determinants of climate change adaptation strategies and existing barriers in Southwestern parts of Ethiopia. Climate Services, 30, 100376.

    Gornall, J., Betts, R., Burke, E., Clark, R., Camp, J., Willett, K., & Wiltshire, A. (2010). Implications of climate change for agricultural productivity in the early twenty-first century. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 365(1554), 2973-2989.

    Habib-ur-Rahman, M., Ahmad, A., Raza, A., Hasnain, M. U., Alharby, H. F., Alzahrani, Y. M., Bamagoos, A. A., Hakeem, K. R., Ahmad, S., & Nasim, W. (2022). Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia. Frontiers in Plant Science, 13, 925548.

    Hatfield, J. L., Boote, K. J., Kimball, B. A., Ziska, L., Izaurralde, R. C., Ort, D., Thomson, A. M., & Wolfe, D. (2011). Climate impacts on agriculture: implications for crop production. Agronomy journal, 103(2), 351-370.

    Ishaque, W., Osman, R., Hafiza, B. S., Malghani, S., Zhao, B., Xu, M., & Ata-Ul-Karim, S. T. (2023). Quantifying the impacts of climate change on wheat phenology, yield, and evapotranspiration under irrigated and rainfed conditions. Agricultural Water Management, 275, 108017.

    Jat, M. L., Dagar, J. C., Sapkota, T. B., Govaerts, B., Ridaura, S., Saharawat, Y. S., Sharma, R. K., Tetarwal, J., Jat, R. K., & Hobbs, H. (2016). Climate change and agriculture: adaptation strategies and mitigation opportunities for food security in South Asia and Latin America. Advances in agronomy, 137, 127-235.

    Kalra, N., Chander, S., Pathak, H., Aggarwal, P., Gupta, N., Sehgal, M., & Chakraborty, D. (2007). Impacts of climate change on agriculture. Outlook on AGRICULTURE, 36(2), 109-118.

    Karki, S., Burton, P., & Mackey, B. (2020). The experiences and perceptions of farmers about the impacts of climate change and variability on crop production: a review. Climate and development, 12(1), 80-95.

    Koli, P., Bhardwaj, N. R., & Mahawer, S. K. (2019). Agrochemicals: harmful and beneficial effects of climate changing scenarios. In Climate change and agricultural ecosystems (pp. 65-94). Elsevier.

    Kuriachen, P., Korekallu Srinivasa, A., Sam, A. S., & Surendran Padmaja, S. (2022). The economics of climate change in agriculture. In Innovative Approaches for Sustainable Development: Theories and Practices in Agriculture (pp. 1-20). Springer.

    Lal, R., Uphoff, N., Stewart, B. A., & Hansen, D. O. (2005). Climate change and global food security. CRC press.

    Leisner, C. P. (2020). Climate change impacts on food security-focus on perennial cropping systems and nutritional value. Plant Science, 293, 110412.

    Lobell, D. B., & Gourdji, S. M. (2012). The influence of climate change on global crop productivity. Plant physiology, 160(4), 1686-1697.

    Mahato, A. (2014). Climate change and its impact on agriculture. International journal of scientific and research publications, 4(4), 1-6.

    Malhi, G. S., Kaur, M., & Kaushik, P. (2021). Impact of climate change on agriculture and its mitigation strategies: A review. Sustainability, 13(3), 1318.

    Müller, C., Elliott, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Deryng, D., Folberth, C., Pugh, T. A., & Schmid, E. (2015). Implications of climate mitigation for future agricultural production. Environmental Research Letters, 10(12), 125004.

    Pareek, N. (2017). Climate change impact on soils: adaptation and mitigation. MOJ Ecol. Environ. Sci, 2, 136-139.

    Pathak, H., Aggarwal, P. K., & Singh, S. (2012). Climate change impact, adaptation and mitigation in agriculture: methodology for assessment and applications. Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, 302.

    Raza, A., Razzaq, A., Mehmood, S. S., Zou, X., Zhang, X., Lv, Y., & Xu, J. (2019). Impact of climate change on crops adaptation and strategies to tackle its outcome: A review. Plants, 8(2), 34.

    Reddy, K. R., & Hodges, H. (2000). Climate change and global crop productivity. CABI.

    Reynolds, M. P. (2010). Climate change and crop production (Vol. 1). Cabi.

    Rosegrant, M. W., Ewing, M., Yohe, G., Burton, I., Huq, S., & Valmonte-Santos, R. (2008). Climate change and agriculture: threats and opportunities.

    Rosenzweig, C., & Hillel, D. (1995). Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and food supply. Consequences, 1(2), 23-32.

    Rosenzweig, C., & Liverman, D. (1992). Predicted effects of climate change on agriculture: A comparison of temperate and tropical regions. Global climate change: Implications, challenges, and mitigation measures, 342-361.

    Shahzad, A., Ullah, S., Dar, A. A., Sardar, M. F., Mehmood, T., Tufail, M. A., Shakoor, A., & Haris, M. (2021). Nexus on climate change: Agriculture and possible solution to cope future climate change stresses. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 14211-14232.

    Venkatramanan, V., Shah, S., & Prasad, R. (2020). Global climate change and environmental policy. Springer.

    Yohannes, H. (2016). A review on relationship between climate change and agriculture. Journal of Earth Science & Climatic Change, 7(2).